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deskgameMuch of the Longhorns' success in the first round of the CFP was thanks to success at the line of scrimmage. Texas ran 292 yards and four touchdowns, led by RBs Jaydon Blue and Quintrevion Wisner. A repeat performance would all but guarantee a win for Texas, but it may not be as easy against an ASU defense that allows 118 rushing yards per game. deskgameOne bet to consider is Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith to record 125+ receiving yards (+290 odds). Smith has been unguardable in the CFP and averaged 145 yards in the Buckeyes' last two games. Texas has a stout pass defense but surrendered 296 yards against Arizona State in the quarterfinal. deskgameCam Thomas is leading the way for Brooklyn in scoring at 23.8 points per game. He ranks second in the league in free throw percentage, at a 90.4% clip. Nic Claxton remains a steady presence down low, as he leads the Nets with 7.7 rebounds and 1.2 blocks per game. Last season, he averaged 2.1 blocks per game, so expect that average to increase. If he can play through a back injury, Brooklyn will be better equipped to handle Towns. deskgameThe conditions are a consideration for this prop play. The advance forecast at nflweather.com points to a 90 percent chance of rain with 16 mph wind gusts. The game-time temperature forecast is 51 degrees, and as noted by the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa has a 1-8 record in games 50 degrees or lower, which is obviously not far off from the projected temperature.