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deskgameThe conditions are a consideration for this prop play. The advance forecast at nflweather.com points to a 90 percent chance of rain with 16 mph wind gusts. The game-time temperature forecast is 51 degrees, and as noted by the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa has a 1-8 record in games 50 degrees or lower, which is obviously not far off from the projected temperature. deskgameAlabama has allowed fewer than 14 points in four of its previous five. The Tide is 50th in rushing yards allowed, but the passing defense has surrendered only a dozen touchdown receptions and 16 interceptions. deskgameMuch of the Longhorns' success in the first round of the CFP was thanks to success at the line of scrimmage. Texas ran 292 yards and four touchdowns, led by RBs Jaydon Blue and Quintrevion Wisner. A repeat performance would all but guarantee a win for Texas, but it may not be as easy against an ASU defense that allows 118 rushing yards per game. deskgameTexas’ only two losses this season came against Georgia, and the Bulldogs didn’t give QB Quinn Ewers much time in the pocket. UGA racked up 13 total sacks, but that won’t be an issue against Arizona State. Pressuring the QB is a weakness for a Sun Devils’ defense that only has 21 sacks.