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deskgamePenn State is 6-4-0 ATS in its previous 10 games. It’s also suffered losses to Ohio State and Oregon. The Nittany Lions had an easy run to the CFP semifinals, but that run ends by at least a field goal Thursday night in Miami. deskgameMahomes has passed for 260+ yards in each of his last three games. He has passed for 15 TDs in seven career starts against the Bills. Mahomes will get JuJu Smith-Schuster back from a hamstring injury this week to pair with new top WR DeAndre Hopkins. deskgameOne bet to consider is Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith to record 125+ receiving yards (+290 odds). Smith has been unguardable in the CFP and averaged 145 yards in the Buckeyes' last two games. Texas has a stout pass defense but surrendered 296 yards against Arizona State in the quarterfinal. deskgameOdds boosts: Ride with offers increased odds on selected betting markets.