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deskgameAccording to TeamRankings, Navy is 8-4 against the spread (ATS) and 3-1 as single-digit underdogs. Transfer portal exits and opt-outs are forcing Oklahoma to give less experienced players expanded roles, and that’s the last thing you want against a triple-option team. deskgameWatch for Texas’ defense to roll, leading to a Longhorns' victory and cover. If Arizona State’s offense is held in check, the under should also cash. deskgameOne bet to consider is Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith to record 125+ receiving yards (+290 odds). Smith has been unguardable in the CFP and averaged 145 yards in the Buckeyes' last two games. Texas has a stout pass defense but surrendered 296 yards against Arizona State in the quarterfinal. deskgameThe key is that the house edge is realized over the long haul. A player might win or lose more in the short term, but the house edge will be realized in the end.